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农产品专栏——宏观和产业形成利空共振 棉花跌停!据美国农业部 5 月预估报告,2019/20年度全球棉花产量预估为 2731.5 万吨,较上年度大幅增加152.9 万吨;消费预估为 2741.8 万吨,较上年度增加 70.1 万吨;期末库存预估为 1647.9 万吨,较上年度减少 17 万吨;库消比预估为 60.1%,较上年度减少 1.5%。新年度平衡表大幅提高产量预估,棉花去库存周期结束,利空整体棉价。目前美棉主产区天气整体情况正常,美棉种植正常推进,截至 5 月 28日,美棉种植进度为57%,近五年均值为 58%。

尽管该财季营收和利润都超过华尔街预期,但是因为公司不再详细披露云计算业务的具体营收,甲骨文股价当天下跌7.46%。这样的变化显然没有被股东放过,在财报电话会上,甲骨文的高管们被追问云计算业务最新的营收数据。高管们称,公司在第四财季创造了17亿美元的云收入,跟第三财季15.66亿美元的营收相比差别不大。

图1 2019年1-2月豆油和豆粕价格走势对比图资料来源:文华财经,国泰君安期货产业服务研究所图2 2019年7-8月初豆油和豆粕价格走势对比图资料来源:文华财经,国泰君安期货产业服务研究所1.1.1 压榨量:2019年以来大豆压榨量同比下降

据了解,轮椅租借本来是医院提供的一项便民服务,但是不管医院准备多少轮椅,总是会面临不够用的尴尬。究其原因,是患者或家属借走轮椅后,经常好几天都不还回来。租借轮椅不但增加了医护人员的工作量,严苛的使用规定也让患者感到不便。共享轮椅的出现,让这些问题迎刃而解。

But look for somebody you admire. Look for somebody whereyou‘re looking forward to working with them that day, and doing something that you’re looking forward to, that you‘d do if you didn’t need the money. And Charlieand I found that a long time ago.

WARREN BUFFETT:Sure.沃伦•巴菲特:好的。ANDY SERWER:Are you getting frustrated with Wells Fargo?安迪·塞尔沃:你对富国银行感到失望了吗?WARREN BUFFETT:Well, I think they‘ve been through a lot ofproblems. But I don’t think that the fundamental franchise and all of that,I‘mfine with that. They-- I forget whether it’s in one out of every threehouseholds in the country,they are the mortgage servicer.That‘s huge. It went throughsomething that various other companies-- GEICO, in the early ’70s, got-- hadits troubles. American Express, in 1964 when we got into it, it had the saladoil scandal, which everybody‘s forgotten about. But it was a terrifying eventthen.

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